We may very well be seeing the end of Israel

Empires rarely fall in one stroke. It is a process that can take time.

Read an updated version of this essay here, which includes the latest developments as of May 2024 — the Iranian retaliation, invasion of Rafah and growing student encampments.

Illustrative photo from 2021.

I must admit I have not written much these past few months because there wasn’t much that gave me hope. The genocide in Palestine and Gaza particularly is still ongoing, with little end in sight.

This hope has been renewed recently, as new unfolding events point me to their common conclusion.

It is Friday night as I write these lines, and I feel I need to get them on paper right now while the events are still fresh in my mind. If you’ll indulge me, I truly think we are starting to see the end of Israel.

The colonial project born 77 years ago will soon be but a distant memory.

But let’s step back a little.

The Nethanyahu government is deeply unpopular in Israel. Not because people want a ceasefire — they want the eradication of Gaza and Palestinians — but because they feel Nethanyahu is incapable of carrying this out.

What they do not know, what they can’t ideologically grasp, is that there is simply no answer for October 7. Genocide is out of the question; no straight genocide in the history of the human race has ever been successfully carried out to completion. There will always be survivors who will tell the stories, who will keep their identity alive. They have tried to move Palestinians to Egypt, but the crossing remains closed. They have tried to starve Gaza, but now food aid is making its way in.

Six months on, it has become clear to the Zionist entity that their plan of simply bombing Gaza from afar until no one is left is not going to go anywhere. Life endures. Six months on, while they have killed the appalling number of 40,000 Palestinians in Gaza, Hamas (and the resistance at large) has only lost 10% of their capabilities — as relayed by Ayatollah Khameinei.

Six months on, they have pulled their troops out of Gaza simply because there is no one left to invade Gaza. The myth of Israel’s “invincible” army has been completely shattered, both domestically and internationally.

As soon as the troops left, Hamas performed missile strikes from previously occupied areas, confirming that they still had their capabilities intact.

There is simply no answer for October 7, and this was always a stated goal of the Resistance from day one: to force the colonizer to reckon with his pipe dream. Today, Israel’s reputation is shattered. They have become a pariah nation, synonymous with the Nazis. Before, you still had plenty of people on the fence, who dared not judge. They don’t exist anymore. The entire world is now aware of the plight of the Palestinians, which has been going on for over 77 years, and sides with them. Simply, we have seen in the West more overt support for Palestine since October 7 than in decades preceding.

The Nethanyahu government is reckoning with this realization. They try to appear strong, but are internally navigating through a crisis.

Politicians are now being hounded and disrupted by activists every time they step outside. Companies supporting the genocide in any capacity are being vandalized and boycotted.

More and more of these politicians, including high-ranking officials such as Biden or Pelosi, now say they support a ceasefire. This is not believable of course, but it does represent a change of course from last year, when they rabidly defended Israel. The tides are changing.

The Zionist entity is getting desperate to finish what they started but for which, they are slowly realizing, there is no way out. The public feels things are not moving and demand action. It is this desperation that leads them to commit major mistakes.

On April 1st, not even two weeks ago, Israel struck the Iranian embassy in Syria.

This is not an act that a winning state does. The goal of the colonial project was always complete masterdom over the Arab peninsula, but that requires them to secure Palestine first — which is far from achieved. To get into a second war, to open another front at this time, is foolish. A winning country knows it has time on its side: just look at Russia in Ukraine.

This act is inviting Iran to retaliate, and we know (and Israel does as well) that Iran is capable of it. If you remember, last year at the beginning of the year, Iran struck a US military base in Iraq heavily, shelling it for hours.

The retaliation has not come yet, but is making the occupier jumpy. Perhaps that is all the retaliation that is needed, a deep psy-op that makes them uneasy: confirming again that the bombing of the embassy in Syria was not a show of strength, but a decoy for the settlers to forget about their government for a second.

Finally, earlier this week Israel targetted and killed three of Ismael Haniyeh’s sons, as well as three of his grandchildren (aged below 10). This was, again, a desperate act trying to break the spirit of the resistance; it only galvanized it.

In Yemen, Ansarallah was just handed everything on a silver platter: the coalition of ~20 countries that was supposed to restore shipping lanes in the Red Sea has all but disbanded, and the US is now offering their enemy huge concessions, thereby tacitly admitting defeat. They are now seeking diplomatic solutions and have offered Ansarallah to repair the damages, remove foreign forces from all occupied Yemeni lands and islands, and remove Ansarallah from the State Department’s ‘terrorism list’, recognizing them as the legitimate government of Yemen.

This is unprecedented with the United States. Never before in recent history have they offered such a deal to an enemy they were at war with.

Ansarallah is not taking, and remains steadfast in their support of Palestine. As they have been maintaining from day one: stop the genocide, and we will stop our blockade in the Red Sea.

Their actions, combined with other factors, have been highly damaging to Israel. The Zionist economy, for example, has been shrinking in 2024 and is finding it difficult to find investment. This is not surprising; the genocide they are waging requires heavy investment in terms of manpower and money, most of which are not making it back. Businesses are decoupling and leaving the colonies due to insecurity, and investment and foreign capital is thus going down.

On the Lebanon side, Hezbollah is still making the enemy sweat. If there is one thing we must recognize with Hezbollah, it’s that they’re calculating. They do not take rash acts, but wait for the right time to enter. They have been ramping up their missile strikes on the northern colonies in the past weeks, hinting at a coming escalation — with a major barrage happening as I am writing these lines.

Hezbollah, much like Iran, has not yet entered direct confrontation with Israel beyond border skirmishes late last year. They are ready for war, should it come to that, and while I cannot discern their thoughts, I have no doubt there is a coordinated effort between all participants in this international resistance. All know their place and I very much doubt any action (such as the Hezbollah missile barrage) happens without the knowledge and approval of other nations.

Empires rarely fall like a house of cards, in one swoop. It takes time and crises. I believe, from observing the events outlined above, that we are seeing this crisis for Israel. A crisis so deep, from which there is simply no way out, that it will lead to their end. I believe the resistance sees this as well, and that is (one) reason they are not declaring all out war on Israel and invading from Lebanon and Iran. The conditions are there, they just need time to unfold.

For the first time in months, I am hopeful again. I am hopeful for Palestine and for the human race. It has been six months of pure hell in Gaza, a hell which I thought we had abolished and agreed never to revive after 1945. But, I know that as soon as the genocide stops in Gaza, it will all look like just a bad dream. I look forward to seeing Palestinians wake up from this bad dream.

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